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 degradation indicator


McUDI: Model-Centric Unsupervised Degradation Indicator for Failure Prediction AIOps Solutions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Due to the continuous change in operational data, AIOps solutions suffer from performance degradation over time. Although periodic retraining is the state-of-the-art technique to preserve the failure prediction AIOps models' performance over time, this technique requires a considerable amount of labeled data to retrain. In AIOps obtaining label data is expensive since it requires the availability of domain experts to intensively annotate it. In this paper, we present McUDI, a model-centric unsupervised degradation indicator that is capable of detecting the exact moment the AIOps model requires retraining as a result of changes in data. We further show how employing McUDI in the maintenance pipeline of AIOps solutions can reduce the number of samples that require annotations with 30k for job failure prediction and 260k for disk failure prediction while achieving similar performance with periodic retraining.


Online Bearing Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on a Novel Degradation Indicator and Convolutional Neural Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In industrial applications, nearly half the failures of motors are caused by the degradation of rolling element bearings (REBs). Therefore, accurately estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) for REBs are of crucial importance to ensure the reliability and safety of mechanical systems. To tackle this challenge, model-based approaches are often limited by the complexity of mathematical modeling. Conventional data-driven approaches, on the other hand, require massive efforts to extract the degradation features and construct health index. In this paper, a novel online data-driven framework is proposed to exploit the adoption of deep convolutional neural networks (CNN) in predicting the RUL of bearings. More concretely, the raw vibrations of training bearings are first processed using the Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) and a novel nonlinear degradation indicator is constructed as the label for learning. The CNN is then employed to identify the hidden pattern between the extracted degradation indicator and the vibration of training bearings, which makes it possible to estimate the degradation of the test bearings automatically. Finally, testing bearings' RULs are predicted by using a $\epsilon$-support vector regression model. The superior performance of the proposed RUL estimation framework, compared with the state-of-the-art approaches, is demonstrated through the experimental results. The generality of the proposed CNN model is also validated by transferring to bearings undergoing different operating conditions.